Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +140 MILW -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -3.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.1 (-5.9) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.6 (-4.4) | 142.1 (+16.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -2.4 (-4.6) | 145.3 (+13.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.7 (-5.3) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Home | 3-5 | 4-5 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#300) | -3.4 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#238) | -0.76 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#261) | -1.21 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#223) | 0.437 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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