Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -110 OAK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -5.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.6 (-18.6) | 157.8 (-10.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -2.6 (-17.6) | 155.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -3.3 (-18.3) | 156.7 (-9.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -3.9 (-18.9) | 157.8 (-10.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OAK 74 – 65 PFW |
| Dec 4, 2025 | OAK 101 – 92 PFW |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PFW 80 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 23, 2025 | OAK 76 – 72 PFW |
| Mar 8, 2024 | OAK 75 – 65 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-15 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#252) | -8.0 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#253) | -1.01 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#259) | -1.25 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#263) | 0.507 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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