Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -330 TAR +265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -5.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -5.8 (+7.2) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.4 (+7.6) | 140.8 (-7.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.1 (+6.9) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -5.4 (+7.6) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#206) | -5.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#245) | -3.34 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#248) | -4.21 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#203) | 0.367 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 40.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.