I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Ohio Valley Conference · Skyhawk Arena · January 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -5.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money UTM +210 / SIUE -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTM win
Actual SIUE +16 136 Lost
Massey SIUE -5.5 (-10.5) — —
Massey Totals — 145.4 (-9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -3.7 (-12.3) 142.6 (-6.6) 33% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -2.9 (-13.1) 138.2 (-2.2) 32% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -3.7 (-12.3) 140.3 (-4.3) 30% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -3.1 (-12.9) 142.2 (-6.2) 33% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 UTM 81 – 76 SIUE
Jan 16, 2026 UTM 65 – 59 SIUE
Feb 14, 2025 UTM 76 – 71 SIUE
Jan 18, 2025 UTM 85 – 82 SIUE
Feb 3, 2024 UTM 90 – 79 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTM SIUE
Overall 8-16 9-17
Conference 6-14 7-12
Home 6-7 2-8
Away 2-9 6-7
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W1 L2
Avg Pts For 64.2 65.2
Avg Pts Against 77.7 74.1
Massey -16.6 (#341) -8.5 (#292)
Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#308) -1.03 (#254)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.99 (#316) -1.27 (#250)
RPI 0.410 (#298) 0.471 (#212)
Shooting & Four Factors UTM SIUE
FG% 38.4% 45.3%
3PT% 33.5% 31.9%
REB / G 32.3 32.8
OREB / G 10.7 9.2
AST / TO 0.77 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.0% 50.7%
TOV% 21.8% 24.5%
ORB% 28.7% 27.8%
FT Rate 22.6% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.8% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 21.3%
DRB% 69.2% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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