Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | HC +1100 COLG -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -20.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -11.4 (+0.4) | 159.8 (-22.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -10.8 (-0.2) | 157.8 (-20.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -15.8 (+4.8) | 157.5 (-20.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -15.2 (+4.2) | 157.0 (-20.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | COLG 79 – 74 HC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | COLG 81 – 73 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLG 81 – 64 HC |
Game Analysis
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