Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UND -188 WIU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UND -5.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -4.3 (-2.3) | 140.9 (+23.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -3.4 (-1.4) | 141.1 (+22.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -3.3 (-1.3) | 143.7 (+20.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -4.1 (-2.1) | 142.1 (+21.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | WIU 69 – 66 UND |
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIU 81 – 70 UND |
| Jan 24, 2023 | WIU 92 – 80 UND |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WIU 70 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#286) | -10.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#296) | -2.93 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#300) | -3.31 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#272) | 0.364 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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