Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +200 VILL -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -2.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -2.2 (-5.8) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -2.3 (-5.7) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -1.5 (-6.5) | 144.6 (+7.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -1.0 (-7.0) | 145.8 (+6.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 11-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-0 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#54) | 15.6 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#58) | 3.53 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#49) | 4.41 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#61) | 0.620 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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