Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | CARK -164 NWST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -3.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -2.5 (-6.5) | 156.3 (+1.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -3.0 (-7.0) | 155.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -2.5 (-6.5) | 155.3 (+2.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -1.8 (-5.8) | 153.6 (+4.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | NWST 74 – 66 CARK |
| Mar 6, 2021 | NWST 79 – 70 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#302) | -10.7 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#325) | -3.02 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#331) | -4.44 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#264) | 0.402 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.