Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -110 NWST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -5.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -3.4 (-11.4) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -3.7 (-11.7) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -4.0 (-12.0) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -4.4 (-12.4) | 143.9 (-3.9) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | NWST 79 – 70 CARK |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NWST 81 – 77 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#257) | -3.2 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#207) | -0.19 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#227) | -1.20 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#278) | 0.534 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 12.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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