Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -200 SHU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -8.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -6.1 (-9.1) | 131.2 (-12.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -4.9 (-7.9) | 130.0 (-11.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -5.5 (-8.5) | 132.4 (-13.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -6.0 (-9.0) | 131.9 (-12.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHU 77 – 69 MSM |
| Dec 4, 2025 | SHU 87 – 80 MSM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | MSM 73 – 71 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SHU 77 – 65 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2022 | MSM 98 – 59 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#176) | -6.1 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#152) | -0.22 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#143) | -0.38 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#101) | 0.465 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.