Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +250 MORE -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +19 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -8.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -7.9 (-11.1) | 132.2 (-3.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.6 (-11.4) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -9.6 (-9.4) | 132.6 (-3.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -8.5 (-10.5) | 134.1 (-5.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#318) | -0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#326) | 0.56 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#317) | 0.70 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#296) | 0.524 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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