Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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73–34 on winners spread MAE 9.1 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
High Point @ Gardner-Webb +7.9 141.5 75% 59–55 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -2.6 144.1 38% 70–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +5.7 139.7 71% 68–74 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.8 135.7 52% 63–64 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +0.2 141.4 41% 82–78 ✗
Liberty @ Jacksonville -10.0 135.0 15% 59–54 ✓
App State @ Troy -1.9 136.8 41% 62–71 ✗
Ohio @ Buffalo +5.2 158.2 68% 76–75 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -10.8 147.6 16% 72–51 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +10.5 138.3 86% 58–59 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.9 157.8 65% 81–66 ✗
UL Monroe @ Little Rock +11.5 137.8 85% 62–66 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -2.6 137.8 35% 64–68 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +9.9 125.0 82% 55–59 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -0.6 127.9 40% 71–67 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota +12.1 141.2 87% 59–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +5.4 149.2 71% 60–73 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +4.1 142.1 58% 81–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern -2.9 142.9 36% 79–62 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State -1.9 143.0 46% 75–83 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +3.5 169.0 68% 75–80 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +19.2 147.2 90% 70–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +14.3 131.3 85% 62–70 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +11.1 148.5 86% 74–89 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +2.3 144.2 61% 85–77 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +9.9 133.3 81% 90–84 ✗
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -0.7 140.3 40% 53–51 ✓
Alabama @ Oklahoma +2.9 150.1 60% 61–66 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina -0.4 131.1 49% 77–68 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +1.6 133.5 57% 53–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +7.7 142.2 66% 52–70 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kansas State -0.6 130.1 30% 68–61 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -3.3 143.3 44% 72–73 ✗
Siena @ Marist -3.8 131.2 36% 54–55 ✗
La Salle @ VCU +13.0 138.4 87% 62–73 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina -7.6 156.6 20% 75–69 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +2.6 140.7 62% 84–74 ✗
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +1.8 144.2 58% 82–73 ✗
Texas Tech @ LSU +1.4 153.3 53% 76–71 ✗
Florida @ West Virginia +4.5 147.8 63% 85–80 ✗
TCU @ Missouri +12.1 138.6 87% 98–102 ✓
Florida A&M @ North Carolina A&T -2.2 149.6 57% 58–70 ✗
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +10.8 132.0 84% 67–84 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -6.5 140.7 25% 44–65 ✗
Hartford @ Stony Brook +0.2 131.8 50% 59–57 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +6.0 131.9 73% 61–58 ✗
Miami @ Wake Forest +5.5 139.5 76% 54–66 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -15.2 157.0 16% 74–63 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +2.3 142.7 58% 84–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech -8.5 134.1 16% 74–55 ✓
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +10.0 140.4 83% 56–65 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +6.6 148.9 79% 42–74 ✓
Elon @ Delaware +4.4 131.9 72% 43–66 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +11.7 140.1 86% 77–74 ✗
Wisconsin @ Penn State +0.9 141.8 57% 71–81 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech +10.7 134.5 86% 62–65 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State -3.1 158.8 40% 79–76 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word -14.3 134.8 12% 75–67 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -1.7 144.8 44% 83–76 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -16.3 144.4 12% 81–62 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall -1.0 145.8 44% 80–72 ✓
Auburn @ Baylor +18.0 158.0 88% 72–84 ✓
Florida State @ Georgia Tech -0.8 150.3 48% 65–76 ✗
Monmouth @ Niagara -3.1 142.9 42% 74–83 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +2.3 143.6 64% 74–62 ✗
UCF @ Wichita State +5.3 138.0 72% 88–93 ✓
Long Island University @ St. Francis Brooklyn -0.0 148.0 48% 102–88 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +1.4 137.3 58% 56–67 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian -2.7 124.1 38% 54–66 ✗
Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State -9.7 133.1 19% 84–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern -3.2 142.8 36% 58–61 ✗
Florida International @ Charlotte +8.0 138.5 82% 65–68 ✓
Arkansas @ Oklahoma State +2.5 152.5 65% 77–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +2.4 139.4 66% 57–79 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +3.9 147.8 68% 69–72 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +9.3 151.9 80% 84–112 ✓
Central Michigan @ Kent State +16.6 158.6 90% 76–83 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +13.8 153.0 89% 66–94 ✓
Southern @ Alcorn State -3.3 142.8 27% 76–59 ✓
High Point @ Gardner-Webb +7.6 138.8 74% 72–69 ✗
California @ Arizona +12.8 143.5 86% 50–71 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +1.4 145.6 45% 73–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +20.2 147.6 90% 56–86 ✓
UIC @ Northern Kentucky +2.0 137.6 62% 67–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State -0.4 150.6 42% 77–72 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -3.1 142.2 33% 76–60 ✓
Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +5.4 138.5 72% 56–71 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +0.2 142.5 43% 72–82 ✓
Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas +1.8 153.6 53% 81–77 ✗
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State -1.6 147.0 45% 65–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Little Rock +11.2 136.6 83% 49–65 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +2.7 132.6 60% 74–73 ✗
App State @ Troy -1.8 134.8 41% 59–65 ✗
Toledo @ Bowling Green -1.7 158.2 43% 84–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +10.4 136.4 83% 67–75 ✓
Xavier @ Butler -3.0 134.2 30% 68–55 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar +5.0 149.9 77% 56–64 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech -0.5 129.1 55% 51–65 ✗
Kansas @ Tennessee +6.9 127.4 75% 61–80 ✓
Air Force @ San José State -2.0 137.9 50% 62–75 ✗
Ole Miss @ Georgia -1.4 138.7 47% 61–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +2.2 139.4 56% 44–75 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville -10.3 133.8 15% 64–58 ✓
Pacific @ BYU +12.1 134.7 85% 87–95 ✓
Iowa State @ Mississippi State +10.9 136.3 83% 56–95 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +26.1 140.0 91% 56–106 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +10.1 135.1 87% 71–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.