Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–9 on winners spread MAE 7.9 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +13.6 153.4 84% 80–84 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -3.6 131.7 35% 85–91 ✗
Michigan State @ Rutgers +5.6 139.3 74% 37–67 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss -3.7 132.7 32% 76–63 ✓
UTEP @ UTSA -0.4 147.9 47% 79–86 ✗
TCU @ Kansas +11.6 137.8 87% 51–59 ✓
Memphis @ SMU +5.0 140.5 73% 65–67 ✓
Tennessee State @ Murray State +6.1 131.9 71% 53–73 ✓
Morehead State @ Jacksonville State +2.3 132.3 51% 85–66 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Diego -17.1 157.6 12% 90–62 ✓
Houston @ Tulane -12.9 128.3 12% 83–60 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +16.4 146.9 88% 57–87 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +1.6 144.3 63% 62–64 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin -4.9 144.3 30% 41–51 ✗
Belmont @ Austin Peay -9.7 151.7 18% 81–76 ✓
UAB @ Middle Tennessee -11.8 131.4 15% 70–59 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -14.3 147.2 14% 81–56 ✓
Air Force @ San José State -1.9 142.3 48% 58–59 ✗
Stanford @ Arizona +6.0 148.6 73% 73–64 ✗
California @ Arizona State +4.9 145.3 74% 68–72 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +7.9 129.3 76% 62–64 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -2.7 133.0 38% 79–74 ✓
Monmouth @ Niagara -2.7 144.7 30% 77–67 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State -0.2 150.3 48% 78–75 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +3.8 134.0 64% 62–60 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +13.6 154.0 84% 57–55 ✗
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -2.5 145.3 46% 68–73 ✗
UIC @ Northern Kentucky +2.0 138.1 61% 68–72 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian -2.7 128.4 31% 49–45 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kennesaw State -9.1 131.9 19% 84–67 ✓
Florida International @ Charlotte +8.2 139.5 81% 55–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.