Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Ohio Valley Conference · Pete Mathews Coliseum · January 29, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -3.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money JXST -163 / MORE +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual MORE +19 151 Lost
Massey JXST -3.7 (-22.7) — —
Massey Totals — 123.3 (+27.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -1.7 (-20.7) 132.3 (+18.7) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -3.1 (-22.1) 132.7 (+18.3) 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -2.1 (-21.1) 130.8 (+20.2) 50% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -2.3 (-21.3) 132.3 (+18.7) 51% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2021 MORE 56 – 55 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST MORE
Overall 18-9 23-8
Conference 13-6 17-3
Home 8-3 12-1
Away 7-5 8-5
Neutral 2-1 3-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.6 68.1
Avg Pts Against 69.6 64.7
Massey -0.4 (#169) -1.6 (#193)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#154) 0.31 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.20 (#162) 0.25 (#156)
RPI 0.534 (#108) 0.511 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST MORE
FG% 45.1% 43.8%
3PT% 34.1% 30.3%
REB / G 38.4 35.7
OREB / G 10.4 9.9
AST / TO 0.98 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 49.5%
TOV% 21.2% 24.4%
ORB% 30.3% 29.8%
FT Rate 20.3% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 18.9%
DRB% 72.5% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 16.7% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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