Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | MORE +135 JXST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +1 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -4.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.8 (+2.8) | 127.5 (-16.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -1.8 (+2.8) | 128.6 (-17.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -1.8 (+2.8) | 128.1 (-17.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.7 (+3.7) | 126.3 (-15.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2021 | MORE 85 – 66 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#267) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#216) | 0.45 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#192) | 0.53 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#235) | 0.526 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 27.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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