Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +1100 HOU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +23 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -18.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -13.4 (-9.6) | 127.9 (+15.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -13.0 (-10.0) | 129.6 (+13.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -14.1 (-8.9) | 129.9 (+13.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -12.9 (-10.1) | 128.3 (+14.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | HOU 89 – 59 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | HOU 80 – 60 TULN |
| Mar 12, 2022 | HOU 86 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HOU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Feb 3, 2022 | HOU 73 – 62 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-3 |
| Home | 6-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 58.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | 18.7 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | 3.91 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#154) | 5.80 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#199) | 0.676 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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