Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -150 UL +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -3.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -4.1 (-6.1) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.5 (-5.5) | 131.7 (-9.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -4.9 (-6.9) | 135.3 (-13.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -3.8 (-5.8) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UL 67 – 54 TXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TXST 59 – 54 UL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UL 70 – 61 TXST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TXST 89 – 74 UL |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UL 66 – 46 TXST |
Game Analysis
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