Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | KU -1200 TCU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | KU -13.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -11.7 (-3.7) | 137.7 (-27.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.4 (-2.4) | 135.2 (-25.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -11.3 (-3.3) | 137.3 (-27.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -11.6 (-3.6) | 137.8 (-27.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#24) | 2.5 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#9) | 2.11 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#18) | 2.09 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#14) | 0.552 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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