Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +275 UNT -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -4.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -2.5 (-2.5) | 133.8 (+19.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.2 (-2.8) | 134.8 (+18.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -1.8 (-3.2) | 135.4 (+17.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.7 (-2.3) | 133.0 (+20.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Game Analysis
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