Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +188 MILW -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -4.6 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -2.3 (+7.3) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.8 (+7.8) | 143.4 (-2.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.1 (+8.1) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -2.5 (+7.5) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Home | 3-5 | 4-5 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#309) | -2.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#255) | -0.60 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#275) | -1.05 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#244) | 0.446 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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