Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -138 SIUE +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -2.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -1.0 (+1.0) | 144.2 (-18.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.4 (+0.6) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.0 (-0.0) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -1.6 (+0.4) | 144.3 (-18.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#293) | -8.6 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#315) | -0.59 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#312) | -0.93 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#322) | 0.487 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 80.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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