Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · January 29, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money YSU +100 / DETM +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual DETM +3 153 Lost
Massey DETM -1.5 (-1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 151.8 (+1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -0.4 (-2.6) 148.8 (+4.2) 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -0.9 (-3.9) 144.0 (+9.0) 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DETM -0.4 (-2.6) 150.3 (+2.7) 52% ✗
Baseline ML DETM -0.2 (-2.8) 150.3 (+2.7) 48% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 DETM 76 – 70 YSU
Dec 29, 2025 DETM 73 – 68 YSU
Feb 8, 2025 YSU 87 – 72 DETM
Dec 29, 2024 YSU 73 – 64 DETM
Feb 28, 2024 YSU 69 – 55 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU DETM
Overall 15-12 12-10
Conference 9-11 10-6
Home 10-5 7-5
Away 5-7 5-5
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.4 76.5
Avg Pts Against 75.0 74.0
Massey -7.3 (#280) -3.2 (#213)
Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#254) -1.41 (#280)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#261) -1.25 (#250)
RPI 0.460 (#232) 0.414 (#294)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU DETM
FG% 42.2% 43.7%
3PT% 28.1% 36.7%
REB / G 35.3 33.7
OREB / G 13.7 9.7
AST / TO 1.06 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 51.4%
TOV% 15.8% 17.7%
ORB% 34.9% 26.8%
FT Rate 22.7% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.9% 55.0%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.9%
DRB% 67.9% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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