Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -138 MSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +30 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -6.4 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-41.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.3 (+24.7) | 141.2 (-37.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -3.8 (+26.2) | 138.5 (-34.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -5.3 (+24.7) | 142.0 (-38.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.6 (+24.4) | 139.3 (-35.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#52) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#41) | 1.57 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#33) | 2.67 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#65) | 0.511 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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