Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | PRES +120 LONG -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +4 | 94 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -3.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.0 (-1.0) | 129.1 (-35.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -2.1 (-1.9) | 122.4 (-28.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -2.9 (-1.1) | 126.7 (-32.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -2.7 (-1.3) | 128.4 (-34.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRES 72 – 65 LONG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LONG 77 – 70 PRES |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRES 77 – 68 LONG |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PRES 68 – 60 LONG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LONG 81 – 73 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#314) | -4.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#312) | -2.05 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#313) | -2.22 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#316) | 0.410 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.