Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTM +333 EIU -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +10 | 92 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -7.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-62.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -4.7 (+14.7) | 150.0 (-58.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -6.1 (+16.1) | 142.5 (-50.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.7 (+14.7) | 148.0 (-56.0) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -4.9 (+14.9) | 144.3 (-52.3) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#342) | -7.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#317) | -1.85 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#325) | -2.60 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#307) | 0.402 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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