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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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78–22 on winners spread MAE 10.0 100 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Kentucky @ Purdue +23.7 161.7 90% 53–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Kentucky +20.2 148.4 89% 70–96 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +13.9 143.2 86% 58–93 ✓
Charlotte @ Stetson -1.6 134.7 46% 75–79 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Iowa +16.3 164.8 88% 74–103 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.8 147.0 79% 60–73 ✓
Evansville @ Cincinnati +16.2 153.3 88% 58–76 ✓
Niagara @ Buffalo +3.2 140.9 58% 69–63 ✗
East Tennessee State @ East Carolina +4.7 134.3 70% 86–70 ✗
McNeese @ Michigan +6.4 145.9 73% 87–76 ✗
Alabama State @ South Florida +12.4 144.6 88% 70–73 ✓
Maine @ Minnesota +12.3 137.7 87% 62–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Saint Joseph's +16.6 138.5 89% 56–97 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ UCF +20.2 140.7 90% 54–98 ✓
American University @ UMBC +0.0 154.3 36% 87–85 ✗
New Orleans @ Stephen F. Austin +14.5 146.1 88% 51–80 ✓
South Carolina State @ Nebraska +21.0 148.8 91% 62–91 ✓
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina +24.9 152.3 91% 60–105 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Texas +12.7 142.1 85% 37–72 ✓
Kent State @ Saint Mary's +9.3 137.5 80% 46–66 ✓
UNC Asheville @ UAB +4.1 148.1 73% 85–90 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +2.7 145.7 63% 75–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +16.6 145.5 90% 55–96 ✓
Jackson State @ Northwestern +17.0 140.4 88% 63–74 ✓
Denver @ Omaha -5.2 148.5 35% 95–80 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota -1.2 132.5 46% 70–45 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City -1.4 142.2 51% 60–77 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +5.9 149.3 74% 75–66 ✗
Washington State @ Utah +6.7 145.2 80% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +6.0 131.2 71% 58–67 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +1.0 137.0 67% 91–93 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Illinois +27.6 164.6 91% 71–104 ✓
San Diego State @ Gonzaga +4.9 146.5 70% 84–74 ✗
Washington @ Colorado +6.7 158.5 79% 69–73 ✓
Utah Valley @ Boise State +10.0 132.2 84% 63–85 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego +3.8 142.5 65% 71–67 ✗
Tarleton State @ Loyola Marymount +5.0 132.5 63% 79–66 ✗
Arizona @ California -12.8 163.1 13% 100–81 ✓
Arizona State @ Stanford +5.0 148.5 69% 76–73 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse -1.5 143.1 49% 73–81 ✗
Virginia @ Notre Dame -5.8 127.8 21% 54–76 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Delaware State -2.0 145.6 48% 73–77 ✗
William & Mary @ Navy +5.8 141.0 72% 65–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Rutgers +22.0 136.6 91% 58–59 ✓
Hofstra @ St. John's +4.9 140.8 71% 79–84 ✓
Lipscomb @ Florida State +5.0 148.1 70% 78–75 ✗
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +1.6 141.7 56% 71–82 ✓
Columbia @ Fordham +5.0 144.7 77% 78–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +13.5 139.9 87% 55–67 ✓
Siena @ Massachusetts +21.7 146.3 90% 66–79 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Florida +17.4 157.7 87% 72–97 ✓
Davidson @ Ohio -3.6 139.6 34% 72–69 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette +4.9 144.4 74% 67–72 ✓
Queens University @ Duke +23.1 158.2 90% 69–106 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +14.5 144.8 87% 65–82 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest +2.8 140.8 61% 63–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +10.4 139.1 87% 35–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Bucknell -0.6 124.6 42% 67–58 ✓
Indiana State @ Michigan State +6.0 149.9 73% 75–87 ✓
Howard @ La Salle +4.7 154.1 67% 71–66 ✗
Florida A&M @ South Carolina +17.9 135.3 90% 62–94 ✓
Princeton @ Delaware -3.7 139.8 33% 84–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Marist +8.2 129.7 69% 65–58 ✗
Liberty @ Alabama +6.8 153.0 74% 56–101 ✓
Merrimack @ Boston University -0.7 130.3 56% 63–74 ✗
Iona @ Harvard +3.0 143.0 66% 69–60 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ George Mason +17.1 146.3 89% 69–94 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina -4.4 153.8 27% 72–65 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +1.8 147.3 62% 90–91 ✓
Longwood @ Dayton +11.5 139.6 84% 69–78 ✓
Le Moyne @ Fairfield +7.0 144.4 78% 72–78 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ VCU +13.7 139.6 87% 73–87 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia +19.1 152.7 90% 73–93 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Western Kentucky +7.2 150.4 80% 84–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern -2.4 139.6 40% 67–88 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Missouri +19.0 148.9 89% 59–92 ✓
Wichita State @ Kansas +7.7 144.6 78% 67–86 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +6.4 145.9 73% 64–77 ✓
Chicago State @ DePaul +5.2 131.8 70% 58–70 ✓
Lafayette @ Richmond +15.9 133.3 89% 38–59 ✓
Campbell @ Saint Francis +0.5 127.0 53% 76–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -4.9 156.2 34% 81–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Murray State +3.3 129.6 65% 54–75 ✓
Louisiana @ Marshall -0.5 148.5 50% 61–75 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ George Washington +14.8 149.7 89% 63–69 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Akron -2.4 136.2 37% 62–61 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +5.9 156.6 71% 84–68 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +4.0 151.7 68% 77–92 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +9.3 136.4 85% 64–86 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon +7.0 136.4 76% 59–64 ✓
Dartmouth @ Vanderbilt +9.1 132.8 81% 53–69 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Arkansas +4.8 149.6 75% 90–106 ✓
Florida International @ Utah Tech +5.1 144.3 69% 92–96 ✓
Little Rock @ Tennessee State +3.2 154.6 72% 82–90 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis +7.7 135.1 81% 46–71 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho -1.3 136.9 43% 77–72 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +10.4 142.8 85% 61–87 ✓
Wyoming @ BYU +23.8 154.9 90% 68–94 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ San Francisco +25.5 132.0 91% 42–92 ✓
Montana @ Idaho State -1.9 137.5 34% 76–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.