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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–14 on winners spread MAE 9.5 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Houston +22.7 131.1 90% 42–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida Gulf Coast -10.8 143.3 17% 68–72 ✗
Austin Peay @ Memphis +18.7 140.4 89% 70–81 ✓
UIC @ Southern Illinois +8.0 133.3 80% 50–62 ✓
Bellarmine @ High Point +10.3 142.0 88% 85–90 ✓
Wagner @ Manhattan +2.4 132.5 50% 68–56 ✗
South Alabama @ Old Dominion +1.3 145.9 56% 61–59 ✗
Yale @ Santa Clara +5.2 143.8 68% 66–58 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +23.1 140.7 91% 54–79 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +10.4 138.6 77% 75–78 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.4 150.9 65% 74–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Grand Canyon +7.1 139.1 81% 70–73 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +1.3 138.6 61% 77–79 ✓
Seattle U @ UTEP -2.1 140.5 56% 73–61 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -3.0 134.9 38% 61–66 ✗
Chattanooga @ Auburn +20.0 151.7 89% 66–101 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -5.4 145.4 34% 70–86 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -10.5 138.9 16% 75–56 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +8.0 133.2 79% 63–61 ✗
Robert Morris @ Green Bay +3.2 138.8 63% 61–78 ✓
New Hampshire @ Iowa State +23.9 154.8 90% 70–85 ✓
Washington State @ Colorado +6.5 142.8 75% 67–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +15.1 142.9 90% 56–91 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -10.7 143.7 14% 86–77 ✓
Monmouth @ Oklahoma +20.9 146.3 90% 56–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi State +25.2 141.4 91% 62–85 ✓
South Carolina State @ Oklahoma State +20.8 147.7 90% 70–86 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -1.3 160.1 59% 83–91 ✗
Oakland @ Youngstown State +5.0 143.2 74% 88–81 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota +3.5 149.0 58% 67–51 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +7.2 142.7 76% 61–80 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +8.6 129.5 79% 56–77 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Lindenwood +0.9 136.9 48% 73–62 ✗
Arizona @ Stanford -10.3 161.3 26% 82–100 ✗
Bryant @ Ole Miss +10.7 152.1 84% 78–95 ✓
Morgan State @ NJIT +3.9 144.4 70% 53–69 ✓
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +3.2 132.9 61% 78–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -9.7 141.1 19% 83–64 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +5.6 154.5 74% 89–86 ✗
Washington @ Utah +8.5 161.2 82% 90–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.