Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -190 OMA +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -5.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -3.5 (-19.5) | 149.0 (-31.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -3.4 (-19.4) | 149.4 (-31.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -3.7 (-19.7) | 151.1 (-33.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -3.8 (-19.8) | 150.6 (-32.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#276) | -6.7 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#241) | -1.78 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#239) | -2.13 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#276) | 0.388 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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