Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | HAW -355 CSUF +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -11.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.0 (-10.0) | 133.2 (-9.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -8.3 (-10.3) | 133.3 (-9.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -8.7 (-10.7) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.0 (-11.0) | 133.3 (-9.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HAW 78 – 63 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2026 | HAW 87 – 85 CSUF |
| Dec 7, 2025 | HAW 69 – 59 CSUF |
| Feb 2, 2025 | HAW 82 – 57 CSUF |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAW 95 – 86 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#152) | -5.9 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | 0.13 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#143) | -0.23 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#161) | 0.523 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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