Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | IUIN +400 CLE -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +9 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -12.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -10.7 (+1.7) | 143.7 (+19.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -11.1 (+2.1) | 142.3 (+20.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -11.3 (+2.3) | 142.4 (+20.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -11.7 (+2.7) | 142.1 (+20.9) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-10 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#357) | 0.6 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#351) | 0.69 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.02 (#350) | 0.79 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#360) | 0.520 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 22.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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