Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -24.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -21.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -20.8 (-4.8) | 147.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -16.8 (-0.8) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -17.4 (-1.4) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -18.0 (-2.0) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#100) | -12.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#249) | -2.21 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#214) | -3.36 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#270) | 0.410 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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