Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -138 WAG +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -5.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -2.4 (-14.4) | 132.5 (-8.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.8 (-14.8) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -3.9 (-15.9) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -3.4 (-15.4) | 130.5 (-6.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | WAG 103 – 101 MAN |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MAN 80 – 66 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#309) | -9.4 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#215) | -1.12 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#270) | -2.18 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#172) | 0.441 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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