Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -138 YALE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -5.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -5.2 (-13.2) | 143.8 (-19.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -5.5 (-13.5) | 147.1 (-23.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -5.4 (-13.4) | 146.7 (-22.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -5.6 (-13.6) | 145.9 (-21.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#115) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#91) | 0.34 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#90) | 0.58 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.523 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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