Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -250 UIC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -7.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -8.0 (+4.0) | 133.3 (-21.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -6.3 (+5.7) | 133.2 (-21.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -5.6 (+6.4) | 133.9 (-21.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -6.0 (+6.0) | 133.5 (-21.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#82) | 3.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#166) | -0.19 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#140) | 0.85 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#181) | 0.498 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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