Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU +1800 FAU -3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -18.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -10.8 (+14.8) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -11.2 (+15.2) | 143.9 (-3.9) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -13.4 (+17.4) | 143.7 (-3.7) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -12.2 (+16.2) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | FAU 81 – 76 FGCU |
| Nov 30, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 78 FAU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | FAU 85 – 53 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#268) | 17.0 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#303) | 2.83 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#302) | 3.32 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#282) | 0.668 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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