Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU +120 FAU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -2.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.0 (-3.0) | 151.7 (+5.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -0.5 (-5.5) | 153.9 (+3.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -0.4 (-4.6) | 154.1 (+2.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.1 (-5.1) | 152.8 (+4.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 78 FAU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | FGCU 72 – 68 FAU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | FAU 85 – 53 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#215) | 4.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#259) | 1.05 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#202) | 1.52 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#264) | 0.602 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.