Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -900 FGCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -12.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -13.5 (-15.5) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -10.3 (-12.3) | 146.2 (+11.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -11.4 (-13.4) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -9.9 (-11.9) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | FAU 81 – 76 FGCU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | FGCU 72 – 68 FAU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | FAU 85 – 53 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#77) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#81) | -1.66 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#65) | -2.19 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#40) | 0.450 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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