Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -300 FGCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +32 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -11.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.1 (+23.9) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -9.7 (+22.3) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -9.6 (+22.4) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -9.7 (+22.3) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | FAU 81 – 76 FGCU |
| Nov 30, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 78 FAU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | FGCU 72 – 68 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#29) | 6.2 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#38) | 1.56 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#47) | 1.95 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#59) | 0.597 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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