Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +400 MORE -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +19 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -9.7 (-9.3) | 141.1 (+5.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.4 (-7.6) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.7 (-8.3) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.3 (-7.7) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#353) | 1.5 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#325) | 0.99 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#333) | 1.09 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#308) | 0.575 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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