Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -150 USA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -2.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.2 (-3.2) | 149.5 (-29.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.3 (-3.3) | 145.9 (-25.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -1.5 (-3.5) | 146.9 (-26.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -0.9 (-2.9) | 147.9 (-27.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | ODU 71 – 63 USA |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ODU 66 – 64 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#257) | -2.3 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#216) | -0.06 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#236) | -0.06 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#184) | 0.466 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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