Betting Lines
| Spread | USA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | USA -120 ODU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | USA -3.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -1.5 (-3.5) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USA -1.0 (-3.0) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USA -1.6 (-3.6) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USA -1.6 (-3.6) | 137.4 (-7.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | ODU 71 – 63 USA |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USA 61 – 59 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USA | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#180) | -0.1 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#257) | 0.05 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#255) | 0.15 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.512 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USA | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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