Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -18.0 Push |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -2000 EVAN +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -12.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -16.2 (+1.8) | 153.3 (-19.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -12.2 (+5.8) | 150.6 (-16.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -12.8 (+5.2) | 151.4 (-17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -13.5 (+4.5) | 154.0 (-20.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | CIN 65 – 43 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#32) | 4.1 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#65) | 1.66 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#57) | 1.86 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#79) | 0.576 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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