Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -8000 NWST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +41 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -23.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -16.6 (+24.4) | 145.5 (+5.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -19.6 (+21.4) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -21.2 (+19.8) | 145.1 (+5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -20.7 (+20.3) | 147.4 (+3.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | LSU 77 – 53 NWST |
| Dec 15, 2021 | LSU 89 – 49 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | -17.0 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#169) | -3.73 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#152) | -4.87 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.337 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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