Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -7500 NWST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +24 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -14.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.4 (+11.6) | 141.2 (-11.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -13.3 (+10.7) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.9 (+11.1) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -16.8 (+7.2) | 144.0 (-14.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | LSU 96 – 55 NWST |
| Dec 15, 2021 | LSU 89 – 49 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | -0.5 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#22) | -2.04 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.79 (#19) | -1.65 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#39) | 0.458 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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