Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -35.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +40 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -42.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -34.4 (+5.6) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -34.0 (+6.0) | 142.4 (-4.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -25.8 (+14.2) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -28.5 (+11.5) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | LSU 77 – 53 NWST |
| Dec 30, 2023 | LSU 96 – 55 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 22.3 (#2) | -15.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#4) | -2.88 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.21 (#4) | -4.10 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.708 (#3) | 0.414 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.4% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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