Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +110 DEN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +15 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -3.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -5.2 (-9.8) | 148.5 (+26.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -3.0 (-12.0) | 148.5 (+26.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -3.1 (-11.9) | 149.9 (+25.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -4.2 (-10.8) | 151.1 (+23.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | OMA 83 – 76 DEN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | OMA 84 – 82 DEN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | OMA 78 – 69 DEN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OMA 80 – 62 DEN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | DEN 66 – 63 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 82.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#270) | 2.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#299) | 0.35 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#295) | 0.23 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#332) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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