Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | MICH -550 MCN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +11 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -5.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.4 (-17.4) | 145.9 (+17.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.6 (-13.6) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.9 (-13.9) | 149.0 (+14.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -1.3 (-12.3) | 142.8 (+20.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | MICH 112 – 71 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-10 | 18-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#61) | 8.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#97) | 1.90 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#82) | 2.52 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#46) | 0.613 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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