Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -6500 MCN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +41 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -24.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -22.3 (+18.7) | 152.4 (+30.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MICH -17.2 (+23.8) | 157.0 (+26.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MICH -21.6 (+19.4) | 154.4 (+28.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -23.4 (+17.6) | 150.0 (+33.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | MCN 87 – 76 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 19-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-0 |
| Away | 11-0 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 32.4 (#1) | 12.0 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.31 (#3) | 1.94 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.36 (#3) | 2.52 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.726 (#1) | 0.592 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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