Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -1700 SIE +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -32.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -21.7 (-8.7) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -24.1 (-11.1) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -29.8 (-16.8) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -28.9 (-15.9) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 2-12 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#65) | -19.5 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#119) | -2.70 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#114) | -3.85 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#78) | 0.337 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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