Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -320 COLU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +9 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -3.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -5.0 (+4.0) | 144.7 (+20.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -1.9 (+7.1) | 143.2 (+21.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -2.1 (+6.9) | 144.2 (+20.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -2.2 (+6.8) | 144.9 (+20.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | FOR 77 – 67 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#214) | -1.8 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#275) | 0.58 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#273) | 0.47 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#289) | 0.490 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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